Mirra Andreeva – Nikola Bartunkova - US Open Round of 32, 5 September 2026

Match analysis

The defining verified contrast is the rankings: Andreeva is ranked fifth and Bartunkova thirty-fourth, a gap of twenty-nine places. That is the strongest basis for backing the higher-ranked player in this US Open meeting. Recent results are less one-sided: Andreeva 5/8, while H2H Andreeva 0-0 Bartunkova leaves no prior matchup evidence to reinforce either case. With the surface unspecified, the sensible conclusion is simply that Andreeva’s ranking edge supplies the clearer overall starting point, rather than a claim about match conditions.

Bartunkova 6/8 shows the stronger recent run and provides a concrete counter-risk: she can carry that momentum into a first meeting and make the ranking advantage less decisive. James Whitfield’s expert estimate is Andreeva 75%, above the 73.77% market baseline by 1.23 percentage points; it is a reproducible analytical forecast, not a guarantee. The indicative price of 1.28 is below 1.40, however, so the moneyline is not worth a bet and the recommendation is to pass; no supported alternative market is available. Odds are indicative and can change. For 18+ only; gamble responsibly.